j111822
0x383a4336a0f13c0288e7a281cb48b8086b4f4b20
- Realised P&L
- $-4.71
- Volume
- $81.37
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $19.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.05at 0.321Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 3?
- +$3.96at 0.208Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 20:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.149999988 | $1.25 |
| 10-05 18:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.1238095097 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 10-05 16:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.8499999805 | $4.35 |
| 10-05 15:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.349999987 | $2.70 |
| 10-05 12:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.1523809524 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 04:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 10-04 17:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.3399999669 | $1.85 |
| 10-04 17:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 10-03 21:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.3899999752 | $2.20 |
| 10-03 11:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.3099999966 | $1.85 |
| 10-03 08:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 06:53 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.35 |
| 10-03 06:53 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.55 |
| 10-02 22:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.4399999932 | $2.60 |