PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

j111822

0x383a4336a0f13c0288e7a281cb48b8086b4f4b20

Realised P&L
$-4.71
Volume
$81.37
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$19.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 20:49Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 6?BUY0.149999988$1.25
10-05 18:05Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 6?BUY0.1238095097$1.00
10-05 16:05Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 6?BUY0.35$1.75
10-05 16:05Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 6?BUY0.8499999805$4.35
10-05 15:59Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 6?BUY0.349999987$2.70
10-05 12:16Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 5?BUY0.1523809524$1.00
10-05 04:14Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 5?BUY0.66$3.30
10-04 17:36Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 5?BUY0.3399999669$1.85
10-04 17:32Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 5?BUY0.36$1.80
10-03 21:05Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 4?BUY0.3899999752$2.20
10-03 11:26Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 3?BUY0.3099999966$1.85
10-03 08:16Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 3?BUY0.2$1.00
10-03 06:53Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 3?BUY0.24$1.35
10-03 06:53Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 3?BUY0.48$2.55
10-02 22:00Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 3?BUY0.4399999932$2.60