PolyBot

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Traders

Aurelius7

0x3832289e6aca6b9444f6d9a4a2a8392f434535e1

Realised P&L
$-11.1k
Volume
$745.9k
Markets traded
552
Open portfolio
$977.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded552
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Cowboys (-10.5) · Buccaneers0.5700.575$343.18+$3.18
Spread: Texans (-7.5) · Titans0.5400.515$333.80−$16.20
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7000.715$102.14+$2.14
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5930.575$96.92−$3.08
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · Yes0.2300.175$38.04−$11.96
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5870.255$28.03−$36.47
Don Lemon sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1300.049$15.05−$24.94
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3500.168$9.57−$10.43
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0140.004$6.25−$18.75
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2600.009$4.25−$125.75
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? · Yes0.7800.000$0.00−$100.00
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims) · Geoff Neal0.6600.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election? · Yes0.6290.000$0.00−$215.00
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? · Yes0.1630.000$0.00−$230.00
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes? · Yes0.2860.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 00:53Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 50.5BUY0.5598133946$150.00
10-06 00:24Spread: Texans (-7.5)BUY0.5399999994$350.00
10-06 00:23Spread: Cowboys (-10.5)BUY0.5696665774$340.00
10-06 00:23Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 54.5BUY0.532238806$178.30
10-05 01:27Game Spread: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Novak Djokovic (+1.5)BUY0.5084611417$200.00
10-04 20:12Spread: Bengals (-3.5)SELL0.973$24.32
10-04 20:12Cowboys vs. TexansSELL0.1$69.77
10-04 18:26Spread: Giants (-5.5)BUY0.5271405258$200.00
10-04 17:50Spread: Bengals (-3.5)BUY0.609999999$200.00
10-04 16:46Cardinals vs. GiantsBUY0.56$175.00
10-04 16:46Cowboys vs. TexansBUY0.5799999983$125.00
10-04 16:28Spread: Bills (-7.5)BUY0.5599999997$150.00
10-03 23:19Spread: Florida (-6.5)SELL0.999$908.18
10-03 23:04Washington vs. USC: O/U 59.5BUY0.5799999979$100.00
10-03 23:02Cowboys vs. TexansBUY0.5899999997$200.00