PolyBot

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Traders

0x38294f044ed3f0c4192fb802deba415ff6f5dea6

0x38294f044ed3f0c4192fb802deba415ff6f5dea6

Realised P&L
$-8.70
Volume
$30.2k
Markets traded
895
Open portfolio
$100.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded895
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8890.935$16.46+$0.81
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.8320.972$12.27+$1.76
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.7760.915$11.80+$1.79
Will Geraldine Ponce Méndez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election? · No0.9560.963$7.02+$0.05
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.965$6.94+$0.68
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? · No0.9700.952$5.79−$0.11
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · No0.9400.962$4.46+$0.10
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.9340.930$4.27−$0.02
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.8200.966$3.63+$0.55
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8500.915$3.33+$0.24
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? · No0.9300.977$3.12+$0.15
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9600.962$2.91+$0.00
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9371.000$2.83+$0.18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0380.021$2.70−$2.30
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.925$1.98−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 15:02Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.93$0.75
10-14 07:58Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.93$0.23
10-14 06:32Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.8$0.34
10-14 02:48Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?SELL0.921$0.48
10-13 18:58Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.8$0.18
10-13 18:41Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.94999962$1.00
10-13 17:50Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.9$1.00
10-13 17:08Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.8$0.14
10-13 17:06Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.8$0.50
10-13 16:27Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.8$0.16
10-13 12:17Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.79$0.11
10-13 12:16Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.79$0.48
10-13 02:38Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.875$0.19
10-12 19:12Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?BUY0.9599996928$1.00
10-12 13:06Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.94999962$1.00