0x38294f044ed3f0c4192fb802deba415ff6f5dea6
0x38294f044ed3f0c4192fb802deba415ff6f5dea6
- Realised P&L
- $-8.70
- Volume
- $30.2k
- Markets traded
- 895
- Open portfolio
- $100.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded895
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.49at 0.150Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
- +$86.55at 0.151Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?
- +$83.20at 0.110Hornets vs. Thunder
- +$63.52at 0.145Brisbane International: Cameron Norrie vs Ugo Humbert
- +$55.09at 0.384Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 15:02 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.75 |
| 10-14 07:58 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.23 |
| 10-14 06:32 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.34 |
| 10-14 02:48 | Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.921 | $0.48 |
| 10-13 18:58 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.18 |
| 10-13 18:41 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.94999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 17:50 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 17:08 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.14 |
| 10-13 17:06 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.50 |
| 10-13 16:27 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.16 |
| 10-13 12:17 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.79 | $0.11 |
| 10-13 12:16 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.79 | $0.48 |
| 10-13 02:38 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.875 | $0.19 |
| 10-12 19:12 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | BUY | 0.9599996928 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 13:06 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.94999962 | $1.00 |