hansama231
0x381b9294c1b95b61d018ff56312fbcc4897c4d74
- Realised P&L
- $-240.5k
- Volume
- $12.88M
- Markets traded
- 209
- Open portfolio
- $262.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded209
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.500 | 0.792 | $198.1k | +$73.1k |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.207 | $51.9k | −$73.1k |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.419 | 0.570 | $11.9k | +$3.2k |
| Spread: Cowboys (-9.5) · Cowboys | 0.330 | 1.000 | $299.85 | +$200.85 |
| Seahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 43.5 · Over | 0.420 | 0.001 | $0.30 | −$253.87 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? · No | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.6k |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$256.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.3kat 0.308Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
- +$100.8kat 0.340Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
- +$88.6kat 0.373Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
- +$74.4kat 0.474Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$64.5kat 0.430Will OGC Nice win on 2026-09-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 17:24 | Seahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 43.5 | BUY | 0.42 | $254.17 |
| 09-20 16:49 | Jaguars Team Total: O/U 20.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $4.3k |
| 09-20 16:45 | Jaguars Team Total: O/U 20.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $691.90 |
| 09-20 16:42 | Jaguars Team Total: O/U 20.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $569.80 |
| 09-20 16:41 | Jaguars Team Total: O/U 20.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $1.4k |
| 09-20 16:40 | Jaguars Team Total: O/U 20.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $814.00 |
| 09-20 16:36 | Spread: Cowboys (-9.5) | BUY | 0.33 | $99.00 |
| 09-20 16:08 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.001 | $55.61 |
| 09-20 15:50 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.94 |
| 09-16 20:36 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.003 | $12.83 |
| 09-16 00:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.5k |
| 09-15 20:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.0k |
| 09-15 19:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.0k |
| 09-13 16:11 | Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.001 | $56.99 |
| 09-13 16:03 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.008 | $69.47 |