PithyPear3359
0x37e2682e53b3c4dc9c8602afd1cfa2346d9fd169
- Realised P&L
- $-22.68
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $41.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.30at 0.217Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
- +$35.62at 0.706JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
- +$33.39at 0.310Kristi Noem out by March 31?
- +$31.00at 0.031Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$22.26at 0.310Greg Bovino fired/resigns by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 13:50 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 13:40 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:40 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 13:37 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.0469155523 | $10.00 |
| 06-27 16:46 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 06-27 16:46 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 16:37 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 16:32 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 06-27 16:32 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0809999596 | $2.00 |
| 06-27 16:32 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.022999989 | $2.00 |
| 06-27 16:32 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 06-27 16:31 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0149999925 | $2.00 |
| 06-15 23:47 | Will Warsh say "Stock" during June Press Conference? | BUY | 0.3799999945 | $25.00 |
| 06-15 23:41 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $6.00 |
| 05-19 21:59 | Theo James announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0350000001 | $2.00 |