PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Aristocracy

0x37b64800841d95aa267b057fed32acea51aa6457

Realised P&L
$-28.0k
Volume
$357.9k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1650.045$1.0k$2.8k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8900.795$79.50$9.50
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? · No0.0900.000$0.00$900.00
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$521.56
Will Elon Musk post 110-119 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$5.53
Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$132.00
Will Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$125.00
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00$100.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? · Yes0.1890.000$0.00$1000.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? · Yes0.4550.000$0.00$900.00
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$88.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-19 15:20Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?SELL0.1024751013$32.62
06-15 05:05Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.4547436683$900.00
06-15 04:51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.3098965564$1000.00
06-15 04:33Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.89$89.00
06-15 04:27US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.8209999986$100.00
06-14 07:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.2299999997$500.00
02-06 21:53US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?SELL0.0542990016$578.65
02-06 20:50Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.19$950.00
02-06 20:50Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.19$1.0k
02-06 20:08US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?BUY0.3980177371$1000.00
02-06 20:00Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.19$1.0k
02-06 19:59Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?SELL0.08$2.50
02-06 19:58US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?BUY0.3180296278$1000.00
02-06 08:25US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?SELL0.2509818795$595.58
02-06 05:34US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?BUY0.9152745127$4.8k