s77gr
0x37b2dad67906aba8299d91cfc29f38aeae6c62ad
- Realised P&L
- $-2.75
- Volume
- $28.9k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $116.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.985 | 0.997 | $44.84 | +$0.52 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $30.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $19.97 | +$0.01 |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.992 | 0.996 | $11.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Rockets vs. Lakers · Rockets | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.89 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves · Spurs | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.86at 0.750Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
- +$10.42at 0.749Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
- +$5.06at 0.68676ers vs. Celtics
- +$3.90at 0.672Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
- +$3.03at 0.667Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 08:43 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.00 |
| 09-19 08:42 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 08-28 08:31 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $34.93 |
| 08-28 08:31 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-31 02:46 | Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 07-31 02:46 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.00 |
| 07-31 02:46 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999343 | $15.00 |
| 06-13 08:02 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.00 |
| 06-13 08:01 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9499999881 | $12.00 |
| 06-13 08:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.997999981 | $37.00 |
| 06-13 07:58 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $2.00 |
| 06-13 07:57 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 07:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9979999747 | $30.00 |
| 05-15 12:39 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $65.00 |
| 05-15 12:39 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $25.00 |