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Traders

vivaeuropa

0x37af17eeea7a85bad51f46856430f68aeb172f21

Realised P&L
$-198.83
Volume
$38.5k
Markets traded
162
Open portfolio
$904.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded162
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1220.041$114.62$232.06
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? · Yes0.4040.340$77.81$14.73
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? · Yes0.4690.305$67.09$36.08
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? · No0.1850.795$57.24+$43.91
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6960.947$47.35+$12.55
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1090.045$39.60$56.20
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.8350.970$38.78+$5.38
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? · No0.6860.936$37.46+$10.02
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? · No0.5200.850$34.00+$13.20
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? · No0.8460.952$28.55+$3.17
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.8350.935$27.99+$2.99
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.900$27.00+$1.50
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? · No0.7520.974$23.38+$5.33
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? · No0.6620.984$20.66+$6.75
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? · No0.8890.986$20.46+$2.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 17:03Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?SELL0.77$6.93
09-17 17:03Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$4.55
09-17 17:03Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?SELL0.95$15.20
09-16 15:27Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?SELL0.93$27.90
09-06 15:43Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?SELL0.92$9.20
09-01 14:10Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?BUY0.19$1.90
08-27 14:54Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?SELL0.23$1.61
08-24 18:20Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?BUY0.08$1.12
08-24 17:33Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.72$7.20
08-23 18:25Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?SELL0.63$3.15
08-23 18:13Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?SELL0.63$3.78
08-21 19:12Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.83$16.60
08-19 18:35Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.7238333333$43.43
08-19 18:34Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.72$6.48
08-18 18:08Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.94875$37.95