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vivaeuropa

0x37af17eeea7a85bad51f46856430f68aeb172f21

Realised P&L
$-294.00
Volume
$37.7k
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1220.075$212.26$134.42
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? · Yes0.3760.600$107.04+$40.02
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? · No0.7850.895$104.03+$12.72
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? · Yes0.4770.495$84.14+$2.96
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1090.085$74.80$21.00
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6960.875$43.75+$8.95
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? · No0.1850.350$42.70+$20.10
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.8350.925$37.00+$3.60
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? · No0.5200.845$33.80+$13.00
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? · No0.8460.555$33.30$17.45
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? · No0.6620.775$31.00+$4.50
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? · No0.8100.330$29.70$43.20
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.8350.915$27.39+$2.39
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? · No0.6860.650$26.00$1.44
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? · No0.8890.951$19.73+$1.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 15:04Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?SELL0.65$6.50
08-03 19:01Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?BUY0.60291$18.09
08-03 18:55Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?BUY0.56$11.20
08-03 15:11Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.45$2.70
08-03 14:46Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?SELL0.59$3.54
08-02 15:01Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.69$3.45
08-02 10:29Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.69$3.45
08-02 10:13Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.33$1.65
08-02 10:13Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.68$3.40
07-28 18:57Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?BUY0.59$11.80
07-28 18:55Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?SELL0.998$19.96
07-28 18:43Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?BUY0.63$9.44
07-25 20:52Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?SELL0.46$5.52
07-25 20:51Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?BUY0.55$16.49
07-20 18:43Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?BUY0.91$18.20
Trader vivaeuropa · PolyBot