-Stony
0x379ea1549abdcff65f9e106f9ce228cc17daad96
- Realised P&L
- $-452.80
- Volume
- $90.2k
- Markets traded
- 709
- Open portfolio
- $63.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded709
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.51at 0.425Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 29?
- +$7.10at 0.397LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
- +$4.69at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on March 29?
- +$3.72at 0.528Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
- +$3.52at 0.225LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 3 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 20:08 | Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 16? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 10-16 08:47 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 17? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 10-16 04:15 | Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by October 15? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-16 01:01 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.9199999921 | $4.65 |
| 10-16 00:20 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15? | SELL | 0.981 | $4.91 |
| 10-15 23:20 | Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 15? | SELL | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 10-15 23:20 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.991816 | $4.96 |
| 10-15 18:26 | Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 15? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 10-15 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.985 | $4.92 |
| 10-15 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.987 | $4.93 |
| 10-15 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 10-15 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 10-14 15:16 | Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 10-14 08:32 | Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 15? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 10-14 04:01 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |