PolyBot

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Traders

renshengjian

0x37881f1ebb0d65aa91f27508def06c4906b0ec5a

Realised P&L
$-8.56
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$15.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 07:53Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.999$13.70
10-06 07:51Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7899999851$1.59
09-21 15:16Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.996$15.30
08-28 14:51US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?BUY0.999$15.30
07-24 08:38Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?BUY0.998$15.20
06-05 08:09Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?BUY0.999$90.00
05-28 08:08Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?BUY0.998$90.00
05-25 06:35Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?BUY0.999$89.90
05-17 07:37Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?BUY0.999$70.00
05-15 11:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?BUY0.9989999863$68.00
05-15 11:12Iran closes its airspace by May 15?BUY0.019$3.80
05-15 11:11Will XRP reach $2.10 May 11-17?BUY0.9979999554$19.00
05-10 06:51Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?BUY0.999$93.00
05-05 09:23Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?BUY0.999$93.00
04-23 11:12Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?BUY0.999$90.18