0x377b5ef7347aeb5e954980a46d5d8c45c1df69ca
- Realised P&L
- $27.91
- Volume
- $408.64
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $6.98
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.600 | 0.875 | $1.72 | +$0.54 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.625 | $1.37 | +$0.19 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · No | 0.780 | 0.880 | $1.33 | +$0.15 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.875 | $1.29 | +$0.11 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.850 | $1.27 | +$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.62at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$3.83at 0.349Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$3.65at 0.361Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$3.07at 0.402Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?
- +$2.94at 0.412Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 02:03 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999397 | $1.18 |
| 09-15 05:13 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5399997986 | $1.18 |
| 09-13 21:12 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.7799997488 | $1.18 |
| 09-13 06:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.18 |
| 09-12 16:09 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.18 |
| 09-12 07:54 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999742 | $1.18 |
| 09-11 23:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.18 |
| 09-11 14:08 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999278 | $1.18 |
| 09-08 16:36 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.6799996542 | $1.18 |
| 09-08 08:34 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8? | BUY | 0.2199999739 | $1.18 |
| 09-08 07:41 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August? | BUY | 0.4699998686 | $1.18 |
| 09-07 23:15 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999736 | $1.18 |
| 09-07 11:47 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998963 | $1.18 |
| 09-03 22:23 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599998597 | $1.18 |
| 09-03 10:44 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.18 |