ZealousChain3176
0x374eeae580c86ca69f9ea4ae25e1cfe872a980eb
- Realised P&L
- $3.8k
- Volume
- $111.0k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $939.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.445 | $556.25 | +$81.25 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.142 | 0.131 | $367.61 | −$32.39 |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $15.34 | −$40.73 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.00 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$609.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.123Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
- +$228.15at 0.700Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
- +$128.38at 0.677Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$112.00at 0.018Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$47.60at 0.042Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 07:35 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1419999997 | $400.00 |
| 08-24 07:24 | Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $29.98 |
| 06-14 16:21 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.6099999992 | $97.00 |
| 06-14 16:09 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.6699999998 | $266.00 |
| 05-09 00:06 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.38 | $570.00 |
| 05-09 00:00 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.42 | $609.00 |
| 03-28 15:30 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.042 | $142.80 |
| 03-23 01:31 | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.006 | $48.11 |
| 03-23 01:29 | Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | SELL | 0.999 | $299.70 |
| 03-22 12:23 | Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $12.41 |
| 03-22 12:18 | Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | SELL | 0.7325395918 | $502.52 |
| 03-22 10:16 | Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | SELL | 0.741 | $74.10 |
| 03-20 12:40 | Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | SELL | 0.8101100872 | $179.33 |
| 03-19 20:24 | Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.7 | $198.79 |
| 03-17 09:38 | Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | SELL | 0.86 | $318.05 |