PolyBot

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Traders

mvmca1611

0x3744ed95f66be5ebe553b0f9c9a15f236c4fd422

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$909.8k
Markets traded
618
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded618
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 03:57Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.08$1.00
11-02 03:55Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.5$25.00
11-02 03:02Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.13$2.60
11-02 02:53Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3$15.00
11-02 02:43Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6199999975$50.00
11-02 02:30Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?SELL0.985$1.11
11-02 02:27Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?BUY0.3899999945$20.00
11-02 02:26Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?BUY0.4699999944$25.00
11-02 02:23Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?BUY0.5099999984$25.00
11-02 02:14Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?BUY0.13$6.50
11-02 02:02Senators vs. DucksBUY0.9099999994$15.00
11-02 02:00US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?BUY0.08$1.00
11-02 01:59Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?BUY0.4599999669$5.00
11-02 01:58Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.2829999924$1.00
11-02 01:54Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?BUY0.3699999976$25.00