MKDYT
0x37396ea935052816de62aa53d14caf30d4fe7b32
- Realised P&L
- $11.25
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $1.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026? · Up | 0.860 | 0.905 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.041 | $0.37 | −$0.63 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.100 | $0.15 | −$0.85 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.025 | $0.04 | −$0.96 |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.635 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A · Vitality | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.02at 0.605Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?
- +$41.70at 0.641Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs
- +$28.39at 0.748Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- +$5.64at 0.730Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
- +$3.27at 0.672LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 08:00 | Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A | BUY | 0.9299999993 | $25.00 |
| 05-11 07:52 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $22.00 |
| 05-10 08:03 | Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage | BUY | 0.95 | $21.80 |
| 05-09 08:14 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage | BUY | 0.96 | $21.00 |
| 05-08 07:10 | LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BUY | 0.9 | $18.92 |
| 05-07 07:18 | Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs SINQU (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C | BUY | 0.8899999984 | $16.89 |
| 05-07 07:17 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.95 |
| 05-07 07:17 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.997 | $6.47 |
| 05-07 07:16 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.79 | $0.89 |
| 05-06 08:47 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BUY | 0.9299999988 | $8.04 |
| 05-05 07:31 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.9299999988 | $7.49 |
| 05-04 07:58 | Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage | BUY | 0.9 | $6.76 |
| 05-03 09:11 | LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Season | BUY | 0.8899999881 | $6.00 |
| 05-02 08:49 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | BUY | 0.9199999934 | $5.57 |
| 04-30 08:23 | Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |