0x3731b451aa9e056a71de7d069ba34ae268f864a4
0x3731b451aa9e056a71de7d069ba34ae268f864a4
- Realised P&L
- $0.09
- Volume
- $173.58
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $1.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 1? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.740 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.525 | $0.68 | −$0.32 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.055 | $0.33 | −$1.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.87at 0.320US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$4.38at 0.349Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 in August?
- +$3.73at 0.217Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$3.24at 0.420Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.53at 0.480Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:31 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 1? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:36 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 13:38 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 05:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:03 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 22:13 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:13 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:12 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999159 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 22:52 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999512 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 22:28 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999358 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 07:43 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999515 | $2.29 |
| 09-14 05:40 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999893 | $2.29 |
| 09-13 21:39 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999933 | $2.29 |
| 09-08 14:33 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999282 | $1.37 |