spejimas
0x36f8cbc78991f7542a2ac3a7c59e416224405cbd
- Realised P&L
- $-8.23
- Volume
- $806.77
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $89.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.64at 0.620Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$0.14at 0.110Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- +$-0.24at 0.247Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
- +$-1.58at 0.412Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$-4.03at 0.359Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:56 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 06:11 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 09-13 19:42 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.345 | $3.45 |
| 09-13 19:42 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.28 | $8.40 |
| 09-13 19:41 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.345 | $6.90 |
| 09-13 19:40 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 09-13 19:39 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 19:36 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 09-13 19:33 | Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.93 |
| 09-13 19:31 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 09-13 19:30 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 09-13 19:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.28 |
| 09-05 09:43 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.00 |
| 08-21 18:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.14 |
| 08-12 09:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.30 |