PolyBot

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Traders

spejimas

0x36f8cbc78991f7542a2ac3a7c59e416224405cbd

Realised P&L
$-8.23
Volume
$806.77
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$89.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration82.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8900.875$17.50$0.30
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3450.360$10.81+$0.47
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6400.520$10.40$2.40
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.265$9.81$0.19
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.3900.450$9.00+$1.20
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8900.875$8.75$0.15
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2800.255$7.65$0.75
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.5000.870$6.96+$2.96
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3400.325$3.25$0.15
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.095$1.90$0.70
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1600.090$1.80$1.40
Spain snap election called in 2026? · Yes0.2300.215$1.29$0.09
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2700.053$0.53$2.17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$2.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 21:56NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.269999993$10.00
09-14 06:11Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?SELL0.1$0.50
09-13 19:42Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.345$3.45
09-13 19:42Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.28$8.40
09-13 19:41Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.345$6.90
09-13 19:40Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.89$8.90
09-13 19:39Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.4$2.00
09-13 19:36Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.89$17.80
09-13 19:33Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?BUY0.64$5.93
09-13 19:31Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.39$7.80
09-13 19:302026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.34$3.40
09-13 19:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.014$0.28
09-05 09:43Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.5$4.00
08-21 18:13Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?SELL0.08$1.14
08-12 09:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?SELL0.23$2.30