0x36e6000f50bccf9f71bb499236257cc4b519f6bc
0x36e6000f50bccf9f71bb499236257cc4b519f6bc
- Realised P&L
- $-0.21
- Volume
- $100.37
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $5.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.640 | 0.983 | $2.00 | +$0.70 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 23? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.495 | $1.24 | −$0.06 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.580 | $1.09 | −$0.21 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.100 | $0.62 | −$0.68 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.280 | $0.60 | −$0.70 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.065 | $0.22 | −$1.08 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.370 | 0.021 | $0.07 | −$1.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.31at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$3.48at 0.278Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.400S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$1.84at 0.420Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
- +$1.33at 0.500Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 14:44 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999725 | $1.30 |
| 09-21 06:42 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998686 | $1.30 |
| 09-20 22:39 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999894 | $1.30 |
| 09-19 05:45 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999488 | $1.30 |
| 09-17 19:06 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 23? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.30 |
| 09-17 04:54 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.30 |
| 09-16 20:42 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.30 |
| 09-16 10:27 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.389999922 | $1.30 |
| 09-16 02:26 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2299999965 | $1.30 |
| 09-15 18:07 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5899999546 | $1.30 |
| 09-13 07:22 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.30 |
| 09-10 18:11 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.2799999483 | $1.30 |
| 09-10 08:15 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.6299998401 | $1.30 |
| 09-09 16:49 | Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.4899998568 | $1.30 |
| 09-09 08:41 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999735 | $1.30 |