PolyBot

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Traders

sparkybeme2

0x36c9d921bf2b609be1f643f715467f5e41ab3039

Realised P&L
$-14.84
Volume
$118.0k
Markets traded
1,534
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,534
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? · No0.8000.968$144.98+$25.10
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? · No0.8100.978$144.48+$24.76
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.8440.986$139.99+$20.14
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? · No0.8200.956$139.34+$19.82
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.8400.880$124.96+$5.68
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · No0.8000.820$122.88+$3.00
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8500.855$120.24+$0.70
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8440.745$105.82$14.03
Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · No0.9601.000$103.95+$4.11
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.9480.993$103.27+$4.68
Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No0.9600.973$101.14+$1.30
Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-09-24? · No0.9500.945$99.22$0.52
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9330.966$75.86+$2.54
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8300.988$70.96+$11.32
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.8000.928$69.53+$9.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 11:52Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.95$99.75
09-23 21:25CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?BUY0.86$119.54
09-23 18:09Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.84$119.28
09-22 10:39Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.8299999964$119.28
09-21 22:34Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8499999996$119.54
09-21 00:21Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas AcesBUY0.94$99.64
09-21 00:01Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?BUY0.95$98.80
09-20 18:34Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.9430377358$99.96
09-20 08:02Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?BUY0.8199999995$119.52
09-18 09:14Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.96$99.84
09-18 00:01Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.948$98.59
09-17 11:39Exact Score: Zhejiang Zhiye FC 3 - 2 Wuhan San Zhen FC?BUY0.9558076923$99.40
09-16 23:15Exact Score: Inter Miami CF 0 - 1 CF Cruz Azul?BUY0.96$99.84
09-16 01:12Exact Score: Everton FC 0 - 1 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC?BUY0.959$99.74
09-16 00:29Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.8$119.88