PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x36c1b43e3955cab698d1b39a45d02f061143a97f

0x36c1b43e3955cab698d1b39a45d02f061143a97f

Realised P&L
$3.85
Volume
$257.12
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$4.32

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.2100.250$1.19+$0.19
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · Yes0.8000.880$1.10+$0.10
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.5500.330$0.60−$0.40
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · Yes0.2200.123$0.56−$0.44
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes0.4600.220$0.48−$0.52
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 5 2026? · No0.4800.190$0.40−$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 17:56Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-05 09:42Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-05 00:02Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
10-02 12:53Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?BUY0.8$1.00
10-02 03:38SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-01 16:18SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-01 08:15Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-30 23:02S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-30 12:59Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-30 04:57Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-27 08:30Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-27 08:19Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
09-27 06:05Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-26 21:33Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-26 07:44Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.749999625$1.00