0x36c1b43e3955cab698d1b39a45d02f061143a97f
0x36c1b43e3955cab698d1b39a45d02f061143a97f
- Realised P&L
- $3.85
- Volume
- $257.12
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $4.32
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.250 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.880 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.330 | $0.60 | −$0.40 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.123 | $0.56 | −$0.44 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.220 | $0.48 | −$0.52 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.480 | 0.190 | $0.40 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.54at 0.217Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$4.59at 0.339Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$3.68at 0.389Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.38at 0.410SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 10?
- +$2.67at 0.278Trump renames AI by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:56 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 09:42 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:02 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:53 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:38 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 16:18 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:15 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 12:59 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 04:57 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:30 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:19 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:05 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 21:33 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:44 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |