PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ContrarianLong

0x36bfcd8ab96dce2ddea30145ab749b59c6362864

Realised P&L
$14.5k
Volume
$3.31M
Markets traded
4,385
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,385
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · U 99.50.3870.690$236.91+$104.06
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.0400.099$216.73+$128.27
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2090.925$157.34+$121.84
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0480.022$132.92$158.56
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? · Yes0.1050.227$125.36+$67.12
Will the San Antonio Spurs be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? · Yes0.1980.355$122.35+$54.07
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0580.154$109.89+$68.51
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.0280.130$102.32+$80.17
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · No0.3790.710$91.85+$42.77
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0240.026$82.85+$7.43
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.0100.005$75.72$61.01
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0340.084$73.47+$43.20
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.0370.108$70.43+$46.45
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0060.048$69.09+$60.20
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? · Yes0.1870.345$62.24+$28.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 20:03Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?SELL0.011$0.44
09-14 20:03Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?SELL0.011$0.55
09-14 20:03Will Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?SELL0.028$2.80
09-14 20:03Will New York Giants win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?SELL0.029$1.54
09-14 20:03Will New York Giants win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?SELL0.03$2.10
09-14 20:00Will the Colorado Rockies win more than 65.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?SELL0.004$0.08
09-14 20:00Will the Colorado Rockies win more than 65.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?SELL0.007$0.04
09-14 19:55Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?SELL0.009$0.37
09-14 19:55Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?SELL0.01$0.84
09-14 19:50Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.003$6.00
09-14 19:43Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 American League Championship Series?SELL0.001$1.11
09-14 19:40Will the Los Angeles Lakers be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?SELL0.051$2.55
09-13 10:08Will Kevin Hart attend the US Open Finals?BUY0.58$10.60
09-11 15:34Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 AL Central title?SELL0.001$0.04
09-11 15:33Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.03$58.55