ContrarianLong
0x36bfcd8ab96dce2ddea30145ab749b59c6362864
- Realised P&L
- $14.5k
- Volume
- $3.31M
- Markets traded
- 4,385
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,385
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.044Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.046Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.8kat 0.049Will Dplus Kia win the EWC League of Legends Tournament
- +$926.15at 0.041Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
- +$825.40at 0.029Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 20:03 | Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.44 |
| 09-14 20:03 | Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.55 |
| 09-14 20:03 | Will Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | SELL | 0.028 | $2.80 |
| 09-14 20:03 | Will New York Giants win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | SELL | 0.029 | $1.54 |
| 09-14 20:03 | Will New York Giants win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | SELL | 0.03 | $2.10 |
| 09-14 20:00 | Will the Colorado Rockies win more than 65.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.08 |
| 09-14 20:00 | Will the Colorado Rockies win more than 65.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.04 |
| 09-14 19:55 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.37 |
| 09-14 19:55 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.84 |
| 09-14 19:50 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.00 |
| 09-14 19:43 | Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.11 |
| 09-14 19:40 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? | SELL | 0.051 | $2.55 |
| 09-13 10:08 | Will Kevin Hart attend the US Open Finals? | BUY | 0.58 | $10.60 |
| 09-11 15:34 | Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 AL Central title? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 09-11 15:33 | Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.03 | $58.55 |