PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

TroySimmons7450

0x36b88e8bb80cda741a4a96b12dda510e5d9dac4c

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$201.2k
Markets traded
163
Open portfolio
$474.04

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded163
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.6000.895$295.35+$97.35
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.125$174.63$328.29
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No0.7901.000$4.00+$0.84
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.065$0.07$0.24
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$309.32
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$31.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 14:24New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.1$51.60
06-15 14:06Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7$243.60
06-15 13:22Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.66$473.22
04-27 10:08Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?SELL0.9$18.00
04-27 10:07Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?SELL0.9$31.50
04-27 10:06Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?SELL0.9$31.50
04-27 10:04Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?SELL0.9$31.50
04-27 10:03Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?SELL0.9$31.50
04-27 10:01Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?SELL0.9$18.00
04-27 09:59Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?SELL0.9$31.50
04-27 09:58Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?SELL0.9$31.50
04-27 07:59Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?SELL0.4$240.00
04-23 10:34Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$83.52
04-21 04:10Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?SELL0.6$405.00
04-13 17:23Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY0.3$202.50