0x3696a4f07aa1698999df3cf10769f0bf6598455a
0x3696a4f07aa1698999df3cf10769f0bf6598455a
- Realised P&L
- $-4.30
- Volume
- $158.82
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $2.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.775 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.420 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.570 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.268Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$2.20at 0.319SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$2.10at 0.329Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:59 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 08:07 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:02 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:07 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:14 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:26 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:12 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 12:43 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:41 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:40 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:52 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:25 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 12:43 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 in September? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:37 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |