PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x3692467739D87ec2877D2AAb06eb676e933bFC12-1760026571604

0x3692467739d87ec2877d2aab06eb676e933bfc12

Realised P&L
$-22.1k
Volume
$232.3k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$5.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration96.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4490.345$3.5k$1.0k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8230.751$688.18$65.46
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9250.923$438.25$0.76
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No0.8770.991$358.62+$41.37
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No0.9540.988$306.68+$10.44
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No0.2460.049$158.30$635.52
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No0.9220.974$118.77+$6.23
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0250.003$55.41$497.89
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2120.001$34.52$14.6k
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0660.001$33.45$4.4k
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No0.5740.155$20.93$56.52
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes0.1600.095$14.39$9.77
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.5150.008$4.43$280.82
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$63.77
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$32.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-01 15:26Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.327$67.02
06-23 13:01Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.045$90.00
06-22 16:19Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.131$75.88
06-10 13:58Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.63$9.44
02-26 17:59Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.024$9.45
02-26 17:58Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.52$520.00
01-23 20:40Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.052$2.08
01-23 14:43Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.06$45.00
01-23 14:42Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.076$46.59
01-22 23:04Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.066$1.98
01-22 22:23Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.08$1.12
01-22 22:21Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.07$3.50
01-22 22:21Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.069$18.08
01-22 22:21Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.068$5.91
01-22 22:20Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.067$2.02