somesortofname
0x36903b68b48b5d74a8b6fa6042270c6f9e5551ae
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $190.0k
- Markets traded
- 3,713
- Open portfolio
- $38.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,713
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$517.41at 0.001Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?
- +$402.15at 0.002Criciúma EC to score first vs. São Bernardo FC?
- +$259.56at 0.001Will Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
- +$139.31at 0.011Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on August 28?
- +$114.20at 0.021Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:17 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be 1,400,000 or more? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.17 |
| 09-17 17:17 | Will Eulogio Tapia Deza win the next Cusco mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.09 |
| 09-17 17:17 | Will Maliha K. Ahmed win the 2026 Milton mayoral election? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.03 |
| 09-17 17:17 | Will Iván Hurtado Villafuerte win the next Cusco mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.10 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will Democrats win fewer than 8 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election? | SELL | 0.042 | $0.04 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-01 House election by 5% or more? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.11 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to 2 to 5 years in prison? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.07 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 30% or more? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will Pete Crow-Armstrong lead MLB in WAR for the 2026 season? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.08 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will Conny Glenn win the 2026 Kingston mayoral election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.08 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election by 20%-30%? | SELL | 0.036 | $0.23 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will Adam Zemek be the next Mayor of Brno? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.07 |
| 09-17 08:24 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 25%-30%? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.21 |
| 09-17 08:24 | Will Zainab Azim win the 2026 Milton mayoral election? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.07 |