PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Gnomse

0x368fb1c69029a85ce6f22cb7bf4bb66cd72da97e

Realised P&L
$-452.88
Volume
$68.4k
Markets traded
3,015
Open portfolio
$58.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,015
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration3.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1400.105$21.00−$7.00
Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026? · Yes0.0860.068$18.00−$4.93
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.105$9.97−$19.48
Will EUR/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026? · Yes0.0570.069$6.24+$1.06
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.030$3.05−$7.95
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.028$0.41−$0.94
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET · Down0.4370.000$0.00−$4.37
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET · Up0.4880.000$0.00−$2.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00−$1.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$2.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET · Down0.7390.000$0.00−$5.92
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$2.50
Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET · Up0.6950.000$0.00−$6.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET · Down0.2750.000$0.00−$5.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET · Up0.6250.000$0.00−$3.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-15 03:18Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.024$12.00
08-14 02:15Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.12$12.00
07-13 08:42Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?SELL0.23$46.00
07-12 20:38Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$11.00
07-09 04:04Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.04$20.00
06-30 05:07Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?SELL0.001$2.16
06-24 14:29Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.09$1.82
06-24 14:28Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.089$16.71
06-24 08:10Will EUR/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.0568682622$5.18
06-22 18:33Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.023$1.72
06-22 10:41Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 23?BUY0.52$2.60
06-21 11:02Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$1.35
06-20 18:24Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?SELL0.001$0.13
06-20 18:16Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?BUY0.002$2.00
06-20 17:20Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.014$1.40