Wineverything
0x368d8fceb19d891b47daf036c5fe9d8a73478fd1
- Realised P&L
- $58.26
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $760.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.982 | 0.999 | $257.74 | +$4.39 |
| Trump out as President by September 30? · No | 0.988 | 0.999 | $188.72 | +$1.98 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.70 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.969 | 0.995 | $107.72 | +$2.72 |
| Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.908 | 0.850 | $106.56 | −$7.28 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $99.65 | −$0.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.05at 0.905Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$7.61at 0.990Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?
- +$7.53at 0.983GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?
- +$2.76at 0.987Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?
- +$2.31at 0.989Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 12:34 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? | BUY | 0.9989500524 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 12:32 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.9693518957 | $105.00 |
| 09-13 23:20 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.25 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 09-13 23:18 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-13 23:17 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-06 01:51 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 7 above $0.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $210.00 |
| 09-03 08:35 | Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of August 31 above $295? | BUY | 0.9982201391 | $128.00 |
| 09-03 08:30 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $89.12 |
| 09-03 06:07 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.988 | $186.73 |
| 08-13 06:25 | Will CZ post 200+ posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $250.75 |
| 08-09 05:03 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $151.85 |
| 08-09 05:02 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on August 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-06 06:34 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-06 06:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $165.58 |
| 08-02 06:54 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |