Hulicius
0x3687fc0b1d656a7c569a1baccf0b345246f8e697
- Realised P&L
- $651.77
- Volume
- $20.8k
- Markets traded
- 417
- Open portfolio
- $81.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded417
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$631.26at 0.407Will G2 Esports Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?
- +$68.77at 0.430U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?
- +$44.40at 0.260Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
- +$38.39at 0.360Will Trump say "Deal" 15+ times during Cabinet meeting?
- +$36.25at 0.240Will Trump say "Rebuilt / Rebuild" during Coast Guard event?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 17:12 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $23.50 |
| 10-30 13:27 | Will Dagmar Škodová Parmová be the next Mayor of České Budějovice? | SELL | 0.14 | $3.50 |
| 10-30 08:20 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 10-27 12:37 | Will Hanwha Life Esports Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage? | SELL | 0.6 | $53.47 |
| 10-26 13:12 | Will Hanwha Life Esports Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage? | BUY | 0.6599999935 | $58.82 |
| 10-25 17:18 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.7399999442 | $2.65 |
| 10-23 11:42 | Will G2 Esports Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage? | BUY | 0.3956136568 | $421.54 |
| 10-20 09:11 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0521266 | $5.21 |
| 10-19 19:54 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.199 | $19.90 |
| 10-10 16:43 | Will Martin Soukup be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.34 |
| 10-10 16:42 | Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové? | BUY | 0.7 | $18.90 |
| 09-28 09:23 | Will Dagmar Škodová Parmová be the next Mayor of České Budějovice? | SELL | 0.61 | $15.25 |
| 09-14 15:57 | Will Dagmar Škodová Parmová be the next Mayor of České Budějovice? | BUY | 0.66 | $33.00 |
| 07-07 17:24 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.00839099 | $8.39 |
| 07-07 07:27 | Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in July? | SELL | 0.7 | $3.50 |