ivanpetrov777
0x367b5055484021831f2059ed9fbff6b019962a13
- Realised P&L
- $-18.90
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $49.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.595 | 0.427 | $35.88 | −$14.12 |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.009 | $5.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.090 | $4.39 | −$0.61 |
| Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.125 | $3.17 | −$1.83 |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.076 | $1.18 | −$0.82 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31? · Yes | 0.279 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22? · Up | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.21at 0.608SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
- +$4.38at 0.693Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$2.21at 0.666Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
- +$1.49at 0.944Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$0.30at 0.944Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 20:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999992 | $25.00 |
| 09-05 20:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 08:46 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 08-11 08:43 | Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1971531091 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 14:53 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31? | BUY | 0.279162503 | $20.00 |
| 07-27 09:32 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 15:43 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1029999822 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 15:40 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0169999983 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 08:55 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5949999983 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 21:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $14.60 |
| 07-19 20:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 20:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 18:30 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | SELL | 0.5029114286 | $17.60 |
| 06-12 18:25 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | SELL | 0.47 | $7.05 |
| 06-12 04:55 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY | 0.5980066445 | $90.00 |