nevermoreee
0x36779a187a7de2059f38c06136da551bd19cc090
- Realised P&L
- $-8.09
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.27at 0.920Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$1.50at 0.200Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$1.18at 0.630Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
- +$1.17at 0.814Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
- +$0.87at 0.950Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 20:49 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.953 | $19.06 |
| 08-03 18:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.975 | $40.95 |
| 08-03 18:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.975 | $4.88 |
| 08-03 15:19 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.975 | $9.75 |
| 08-03 14:57 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.46 |
| 08-03 03:38 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | SELL | 0.973 | $8.76 |
| 08-02 10:23 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.957 | $8.61 |
| 08-02 10:01 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $8.28 |
| 08-02 10:01 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.955 | $8.59 |
| 08-02 09:58 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | SELL | 0.969 | $5.81 |
| 08-01 23:36 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | SELL | 0.963 | $4.81 |
| 08-01 22:26 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.72 |
| 08-01 21:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.966 | $8.69 |
| 08-01 08:54 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.918 | $5.51 |
| 07-31 19:14 | Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.68 | $19.72 |