nevermoreee
0x36779a187a7de2059f38c06136da551bd19cc090
- Realised P&L
- $15.04
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.12at 0.740Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$2.27at 0.920Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$1.50at 0.200Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$1.35at 0.550Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?
- +$0.99at 0.787Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:25 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.966 | $4.83 |
| 09-17 21:30 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-17 13:27 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.989 | $16.81 |
| 09-17 10:28 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $0.64 |
| 09-16 19:53 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.72 | $5.76 |
| 09-16 19:35 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.984 | $22.63 |
| 09-16 11:44 | Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026? | SELL | 0.941 | $4.71 |
| 09-16 11:44 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.74 | $35.52 |
| 09-16 11:44 | Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.946 | $7.57 |
| 09-16 11:44 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.74 | $10.23 |
| 09-16 11:43 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.831 | $36.56 |
| 09-16 11:43 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $9.60 |
| 09-16 11:43 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.984 | $30.04 |
| 09-16 11:43 | Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $72.20 |
| 09-16 04:15 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.76 | $6.84 |