PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Polly67

0x364f1d342b6d895196ab7b6d7399871a647a1515

Realised P&L
$-18.8k
Volume
$324.7k
Markets traded
132
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded132
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1720.065$1.3k$2.2k
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.1010.055$852.88$707.85
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2570.165$593.01$330.81
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.1770.171$566.57$20.82
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1120.090$289.80$69.94
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1300.105$125.78$29.95
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3140.080$74.57$219.78
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.2300.225$55.05$1.22
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? · Yes0.1200.034$41.81$107.95
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0220.048$40.92+$21.97
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0470.025$33.31$31.07
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4000.000$0.00$533.20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$617.00
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$324.47
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5700.000$0.00$855.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 00:18Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?SELL0.105$253.27
08-03 14:16Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.999$201.80
04-29 22:22Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?BUY0.002$0.16
04-02 21:03Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.0699999999$500.00
04-02 19:34Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?BUY0.2019035821$100.00
04-02 19:33Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?BUY0.2147020994$250.00
04-02 00:23Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.2276453468$96.65
04-01 19:36Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.6463675436$2.0k
04-01 19:03Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.0611565615$888.00
03-23 15:48Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.14$45.29
03-23 04:09Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.0097541125$100.00
03-23 04:08Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.0616228944$2.0k
03-15 00:34Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.1399999627$3.00
03-13 18:44Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.1299999997$412.00
03-13 18:43Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.25$1.5k