amghost
0x363fd668cf77001d7667dac509ab5812874eee04
- Realised P&L
- $305.56
- Volume
- $95.9k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $44.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$390.84at 0.463Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
- +$97.64at 0.031Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
- +$56.21at 0.130Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
- +$32.59at 0.249Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
- +$28.21at 0.492Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $8.00 |
| 09-13 13:46 | Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.42 |
| 09-11 12:44 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.78 | $79.26 |
| 09-11 12:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $3.52 |
| 09-08 17:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $6.00 |
| 09-07 16:44 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 09:33 | Iran coup attempt by December 31? | BUY | 0.1966700017 | $23.59 |
| 09-06 09:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 09-05 12:50 | Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0773993192 | $11.82 |
| 09-04 15:04 | Iran coup attempt by December 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 09-04 15:01 | Iran coup attempt by December 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 09-04 14:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 09-03 19:45 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.42 | $21.68 |
| 09-03 16:05 | Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.076 | $2.81 |
| 09-03 15:38 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $6.00 |