PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

amghost

0x363fd668cf77001d7667dac509ab5812874eee04

Realised P&L
$305.56
Volume
$95.9k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$44.05

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran coup attempt by December 31? · Yes0.1300.095$30.39$11.19
Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0640.063$13.66$0.30
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Cash" on Thursday? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$9.59
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$16.00
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$2.00
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$3.20
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15? · No0.0270.000$0.00$35.75
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$18.00
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$2.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$33.51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 13:21Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$8.00
09-13 13:46Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$0.42
09-11 12:44Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.78$79.26
09-11 12:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$3.52
09-08 17:33Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.006$6.00
09-07 16:44Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$2.00
09-06 09:33Iran coup attempt by December 31?BUY0.1966700017$23.59
09-06 09:30Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.5$25.00
09-05 12:50Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0773993192$11.82
09-04 15:04Iran coup attempt by December 31?BUY0.09$9.00
09-04 15:01Iran coup attempt by December 31?BUY0.09$9.00
09-04 14:50Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.51$51.00
09-03 19:45Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.42$21.68
09-03 16:05Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.076$2.81
09-03 15:38Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.006$6.00