PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x36247c8e581370c53cac1cdd98a503f24c2a8470

Realised P&L
$-24.52
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
788
Open portfolio
$43.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded788
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$4.65$0.07
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$4.65$0.07
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.974$4.60$0.12
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.969$4.58$0.14
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.959$4.53$0.19
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.934$4.41$0.30
Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No0.9991.000$1.99+$0.00
Will Leonie Bartsch win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? · No0.9990.998$1.81$0.00
Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election? · No0.9980.996$1.81$0.00
Will Iran target Egypt by September 15, 2026? · No0.9990.998$1.66$0.00
Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.997$1.65$0.00
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.984$1.64$0.02
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 15, 2026? · No0.9970.971$1.61$0.04
Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 2AM ET · Up0.9701.000$1.30+$0.04
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17? · Yes0.9971.000$1.24+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 06:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 2AM ETBUY0.9699999846$1.26
09-18 05:57Solana Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ETBUY0.99$1.25
09-18 04:58XRP Up or Down - September 18, 12AM ETBUY0.9699999922$1.25
09-18 00:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8PM ETBUY0.998$1.25
09-17 23:58Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?BUY0.9969999984$1.24
09-17 22:56BNB Up or Down - September 17, 6PM ETBUY0.999$1.25
09-17 10:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 6AM ETBUY0.998$1.24
09-17 08:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4AM ETBUY0.9969999984$1.24
09-17 05:58Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 1AM ETBUY0.999$1.24
09-16 23:57Will Caedrel beat Max Verstappen in Max vs 100?BUY0.999$1.00
09-16 19:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3PM ETBUY0.999$1.20
09-16 13:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 9AM ETBUY0.998$1.07
09-16 10:59Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ETBUY0.9099999887$1.61
09-15 20:57Will Iran target Egypt by September 15, 2026?BUY0.999$1.66
09-15 20:56Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?BUY0.997999792$1.66