0x36247c8e581370c53cac1cdd98a503f24c2a8470
- Realised P&L
- $-24.52
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 788
- Open portfolio
- $43.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded788
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.15at 0.743Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 15%+?
- +$1.13at 0.745Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 17?
- +$1.12at 0.741Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on April 27?
- +$1.12at 0.747Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$1.11at 0.749Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 06:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999846 | $1.26 |
| 09-18 05:57 | Solana Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.25 |
| 09-18 04:58 | XRP Up or Down - September 18, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999922 | $1.25 |
| 09-18 00:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.998 | $1.25 |
| 09-17 23:58 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17? | BUY | 0.9969999984 | $1.24 |
| 09-17 22:56 | BNB Up or Down - September 17, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.25 |
| 09-17 10:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.998 | $1.24 |
| 09-17 08:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.9969999984 | $1.24 |
| 09-17 05:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.24 |
| 09-16 23:57 | Will Caedrel beat Max Verstappen in Max vs 100? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.20 |
| 09-16 13:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.998 | $1.07 |
| 09-16 10:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.9099999887 | $1.61 |
| 09-15 20:57 | Will Iran target Egypt by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.66 |
| 09-15 20:56 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.997999792 | $1.66 |