PolyBot

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Traders

aiersha3

0x35fad6398dfb14e00674a33d7b4265fcb5176055

Realised P&L
$4.30
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · Yes0.9480.996$229.87+$11.07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.9200.915$198.91$1.09
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8900.885$198.88$1.12
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.9160.898$98.05$1.95
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.7390.715$96.76$3.24
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9570.958$69.04+$0.04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · No0.9881.000$50.61+$0.61
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9500.945$49.74$0.26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9400.935$49.73$0.27
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.5600.715$25.54+$5.54
Will Jensen Huang attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? · Yes0.9900.964$25.32$0.68
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? · No0.9500.945$19.89$0.11
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.8820.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 02:20Will Jensen Huang attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?BUY0.99$26.00
09-22 01:04Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?SELL0.992$24.49
09-20 09:49US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.92$200.00
09-20 09:48US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?BUY0.988$50.00
09-20 09:47Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.9399999887$50.00
09-20 09:40China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.9499999991$50.00
09-20 09:35Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?BUY0.95$20.00
09-20 09:34China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.7389167474$100.00
09-20 09:32Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.89$200.00
09-19 06:39Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?BUY0.809999968$20.00
09-19 04:36AI bubble burst in 2026?BUY0.9163951785$100.00
09-19 04:26Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8819998818$5.00
09-19 04:15Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.944$99.00
09-17 14:44Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.9479999977$19.80
09-17 14:43NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.87$19.77