aiersha3
0x35fad6398dfb14e00674a33d7b4265fcb5176055
- Realised P&L
- $4.30
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.49at 0.810Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?
- +$-0.23at 0.880NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
- +$-0.57at 0.953Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 02:20 | Will Jensen Huang attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.99 | $26.00 |
| 09-22 01:04 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | SELL | 0.992 | $24.49 |
| 09-20 09:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $200.00 |
| 09-20 09:48 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 09:47 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 09:40 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9499999991 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 09:35 | Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? | BUY | 0.95 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 09:34 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.7389167474 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 09:32 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $200.00 |
| 09-19 06:39 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | BUY | 0.809999968 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 04:36 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.9163951785 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 04:26 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8819998818 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 04:15 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.944 | $99.00 |
| 09-17 14:44 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.9479999977 | $19.80 |
| 09-17 14:43 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $19.77 |