0x35f7d1CC8EB00019024C01aeb06a788BAe410c73-1774409127948
0x35f7d1cc8eb00019024c01aeb06a788bae410c73
- Realised P&L
- $-100.00
- Volume
- $42.9k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $176.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.017 | $131.35 | −$43.79 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.015 | $25.30 | +$2.62 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.055 | $15.89 | −$10.11 |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.004 | $4.22 | −$20.78 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$735.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$252.25at 0.845Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$111.81at 0.944Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
- +$107.57at 0.830Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
- +$79.15at 0.592Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$58.08at 0.860Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 08:22 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0899999998 | $10.60 |
| 10-25 02:03 | Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0266366738 | $25.00 |
| 10-23 19:40 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0899999995 | $15.40 |
| 10-06 18:24 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 18:59 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0220000001 | $1.57 |
| 08-15 18:52 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0221235598 | $164.63 |
| 08-15 18:50 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0225211811 | $179.59 |
| 08-11 19:25 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.02 | $8.96 |
| 08-11 19:13 | Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.048 | $8.43 |
| 07-27 18:42 | Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0691765433 | $4.00 |
| 07-27 18:07 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0219999997 | $80.00 |
| 07-26 20:03 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.86 |
| 07-26 19:53 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 06-20 04:18 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0169999913 | $1.90 |
| 06-20 03:51 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.79 |