0x11e7B
0x35d91c2bd5b78f7d358068fd3786c1a68933ee18
- Realised P&L
- $-845.62
- Volume
- $698.7k
- Markets traded
- 13,736
- Open portfolio
- $388.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13,736
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? · No | 0.909 | 0.898 | $197.64 | −$2.36 |
| Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · No | 0.783 | 0.715 | $91.31 | −$8.69 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.500 | 0.846 | $84.55 | +$34.55 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.154 | $15.45 | −$34.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
- +$523.51at 0.778Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
- +$500.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$500.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
- +$500.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 09:02 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.987 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.985 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.97 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.972 | $5.01 |
| 10-31 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 08:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.984 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.9891267327 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.97 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 08:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.985 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.985 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 08:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.9865029586 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 08:20 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.9663723608 | $5.03 |