APSB4UC
0x35ba0e91efcbe74310746414c50f0c38e26582f9
- Realised P&L
- $-492.10
- Volume
- $24.6k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $455.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.278 | 0.155 | $452.08 | −$358.91 |
| Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.170 | $3.27 | −$6.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.51at 0.549US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$74.69at 0.585US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$71.17at 0.393Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
- +$29.96at 0.161Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$27.61at 0.714US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 09:23 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 20:00 | Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 21:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.04 |
| 07-22 21:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.949999525 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 15:38 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.56 | $5.71 |
| 07-08 12:55 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.93 |
| 07-08 12:54 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.326 | $61.70 |
| 07-06 12:46 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $4.00 |
| 07-06 12:45 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 00:29 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $5.14 |
| 06-14 00:29 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.165 | $9.88 |
| 06-04 12:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.83 | $23.05 |
| 06-04 12:43 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.84 | $17.61 |
| 06-03 09:18 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $6.09 |
| 06-03 09:18 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.61 | $10.52 |