PolyBot

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Traders

MadCloud101

0x358e9af0c6f896d7732aee94e49690c978535def

Realised P&L
$400.67
Volume
$45.4k
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$75.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2027? · No0.6780.635$75.56$5.15
Will GPT-5 be released on August 15 or later? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.50
Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$15.30
Will GPT-5 be released on August 11? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$0.60
Will GPT-5 be released on August 12? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
1,375+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31? · No0.2060.000$0.00$20.60
Will Cluely CEO Roy Lee get a girlfriend by August 31? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$41.80
Will GPT-5 be released on August 10? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.02
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.6430.000$0.00$47.00
Will GPT-5 be released on August 9? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.02
Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$14.50
1,400+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31? · No0.9500.000$0.00$28.50
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $62m and $67m? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$8.75
Will GPT-5 be released on August 13? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$0.51
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 05:47Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?BUY0.44925$35.94
09-05 05:47Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$74.80
09-02 06:54US recession by end of 2027?BUY0.68$67.32
09-01 23:42US recession by end of 2027?BUY0.67$13.40
07-01 07:16Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.029$8.99
07-01 07:15Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.029$9.86
07-01 03:22Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.188$18.80
07-01 03:22Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0189999987$15.00
07-01 03:19Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.97$40.00
07-01 03:18Will Egypt reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9689999999$40.00
07-01 03:18Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.649999987$15.00
07-01 03:15Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.2$8.00
07-01 03:11Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9$36.00
07-01 03:10Will Algeria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9$27.00
07-01 03:09Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.17$15.30