Fanxiaoqinqin
0x357b330e9e70ed309e6107d0d48db79214af20f7
- Realised P&L
- $-51.51
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $12.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $12.09 | −$0.01 |
| Will Italy vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.67 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 14? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4,900 on October 11? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? · No | 0.991 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$88.83 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 22? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 23? · No | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24? · Yes | 0.279 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.38at 0.683Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- +$10.18at 0.927Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
- +$5.25at 0.938Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?
- +$4.78at 0.960Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
- +$3.25at 0.961Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 10:55 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999366 | $12.10 |
| 09-23 10:46 | Will Italy vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.18 | $4.68 |
| 08-22 05:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $14.70 |
| 07-27 10:26 | Macron out by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.30 |
| 06-09 08:32 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $150.00 |
| 06-05 08:16 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.00 |
| 06-02 01:59 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.9798800873 | $146.00 |
| 05-30 07:55 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $143.00 |
| 05-28 02:17 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.9936850961 | $142.00 |
| 05-26 01:35 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.9871265998 | $140.00 |
| 05-25 09:37 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $140.00 |
| 05-24 08:36 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.9239999999 | $129.80 |
| 05-21 02:31 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9779999975 | $127.00 |
| 05-20 03:56 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.997 | $127.00 |
| 05-19 03:36 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3? | BUY | 0.996 | $126.00 |