0x3574...D130F6
0x3574aa67e0027d389f4d12d5324c568cbd130f66
- Realised P&L
- $6.9k
- Volume
- $60.0k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $716.08
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.006Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?
- +$1.6kat 0.314Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?
- +$956.70at 0.463Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?
- +$768.83at 0.218Will Trump say "Luck" this week? (December 8 - 14)
- +$447.66at 0.021Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (April 20 - 26)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 23:28 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.059152381 | $62.11 |
| 10-25 22:43 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6878280333 | $412.70 |
| 10-25 21:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.658 | $230.91 |
| 08-15 13:20 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $498.00 |
| 08-15 12:52 | Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 29? | BUY | 0.97 | $61.43 |
| 08-15 12:51 | Will "Music, Fashion, Film - Charli xcx" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $27.43 |
| 08-15 12:51 | Will "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $148.50 |
| 08-15 12:26 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $166.83 |
| 08-15 12:23 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 22? | BUY | 0.68 | $14.28 |
| 06-10 18:21 | Will Capitão Wagner win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.997 | $24.93 |
| 06-10 18:18 | Will anyone say "Password" during Rick and Morty E4 S9? | SELL | 0.3666666667 | $5.50 |
| 06-10 18:18 | Will anyone say "Fish" during Rick and Morty E4 S9? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 06-10 18:18 | Will anyone say "Planet" during Rick and Morty E4 S9? | BUY | 0.99 | $113.85 |
| 06-10 18:17 | Will anyone say "Password" during Rick and Morty E4 S9? | BUY | 0.2366666667 | $17.75 |
| 06-10 18:17 | Will anyone say "Fish" during Rick and Morty E4 S9? | BUY | 0.2841666667 | $17.05 |