0x3554aaba49b5ac802d33d6bcf2c480fa77005da0
0x3554aaba49b5ac802d33d6bcf2c480fa77005da0
- Realised P&L
- $8.45
- Volume
- $439.31
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $8.42
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.950 | $3.15 | +$1.06 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.680 | $1.55 | +$0.55 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.825 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.435 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · No | 0.770 | 0.690 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · No | 0.670 | 0.455 | $0.68 | −$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.89at 0.268S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$4.82at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$4.24at 0.330Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E35?
- +$3.66at 0.369Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$3.13at 0.400Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E37?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 06:01 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 22:00 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:05 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:01 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 19:17 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:14 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:14 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2249999719 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:13 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 10:40 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2319999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 02:40 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:32 | Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 13:57 | SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 15:39 | Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:02 | Will Spalding United FC win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 11:28 | Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |