MaxPowell
0x353c33595988322b954b7fa8ff71d9fb254a2af5
- Realised P&L
- $-13.4k
- Volume
- $414.9k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $19.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? · No | 0.716 | 0.935 | $13.3k | +$3.1k |
| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? · No | 0.921 | 0.972 | $2.5k | +$131.18 |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · No | 0.880 | 0.981 | $2.5k | +$251.24 |
| Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027? · No | 0.841 | 0.938 | $1.1k | +$113.34 |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? · Yes | 0.958 | 0.993 | $255.24 | +$8.89 |
| Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? · No | 0.700 | 0.922 | $114.08 | +$27.52 |
| Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? · No | 0.841 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$971.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.3kat 0.013Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
- +$5.0kat 0.865Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$3.0kat 0.955Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
- +$1.8kat 0.767Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
- +$1.4kat 0.526Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 08:54 | Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? | BUY | 0.9579361901 | $246.35 |
| 06-03 09:16 | Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.9680256963 | $107.74 |
| 06-03 09:16 | Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.9693158072 | $632.90 |
| 05-28 07:27 | Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.9655036176 | $1.7k |
| 05-27 06:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.985894167 | $39.4k |
| 04-29 09:55 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.996 | $168.30 |
| 04-27 01:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.996 | $16.9k |
| 04-19 16:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.9k |
| 04-03 07:14 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7082667811 | $4.7k |
| 04-03 07:12 | Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9822873395 | $1.0k |
| 03-17 02:03 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.9k |
| 03-16 04:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.69 | $2.4k |
| 03-16 04:17 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.1k |
| 03-16 04:16 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | BUY | 0.898645406 | $611.20 |
| 03-16 04:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.68 | $630.80 |