Spacey7
0x352dc437786e87adbd0d98973a2e8fefdbbdd189
- Realised P&L
- $610.20
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.837 | 0.945 | $697.63 | +$79.63 |
| Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.927 | 0.967 | $386.60 | +$15.60 |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.805 | 0.375 | $348.80 | −$400.29 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.961 | $10.33 | +$0.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$352.57at 0.723Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$116.67at 0.300Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
- +$79.27at 0.864Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
- +$60.80at 0.946Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
- +$53.28at 0.943Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 14:17 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999953 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 17:12 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999953 | $50.00 |
| 08-11 15:39 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.983 | $98.30 |
| 08-11 15:37 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 08-11 15:35 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 08-11 15:34 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $32.08 |
| 08-07 17:49 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.977 | $97.70 |
| 08-07 17:45 | Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.93 | $279.00 |
| 08-07 17:41 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $252.00 |
| 08-07 17:34 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.953 | $14.29 |
| 07-23 21:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.747 | $37.35 |
| 07-17 21:22 | Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | BUY | 0.8589692368 | $500.00 |
| 07-17 21:04 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.9736103611 | $500.00 |
| 06-04 13:12 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.9749999989 | $300.00 |
| 06-01 12:45 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.97 | $500.00 |