PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x34F8312a665420Fb6DEd1329D59EbE3F06B4B1B9-1782925128933

0x34f8312a665420fb6ded1329d59ebe3f06b4b1b9

Realised P&L
$-0.88
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$523.46

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8930.865$333.58$10.98
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9590.955$123.33$0.58
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31? · No0.9500.930$49.55$1.07
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8900.920$16.99+$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-17 11:09Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.8942777526$101.27
08-17 11:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.04$9.70
08-04 10:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.3299999978$80.00
08-03 09:25Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.8899999995$16.44
08-03 09:24Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?BUY0.95$50.62
08-03 09:22Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.4193965328$67.83
08-02 10:46Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.959017292$123.91
08-02 08:33Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.989$75.88
08-01 17:54Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.75$57.54
08-01 11:23Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.3228773168$20.00
08-01 11:20Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.89$143.29
07-28 11:31Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.38$38.00
07-18 15:44Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8199999546$15.53
07-18 15:36Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.5199999958$50.00
07-18 15:23Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5064688661$100.00