0x34F8312a665420Fb6DEd1329D59EbE3F06B4B1B9-1782925128933
0x34f8312a665420fb6ded1329d59ebe3f06b4b1b9
- Realised P&L
- $-0.88
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $523.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No | 0.893 | 0.865 | $333.58 | −$10.98 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.959 | 0.955 | $123.33 | −$0.58 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31? · No | 0.950 | 0.930 | $49.55 | −$1.07 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No | 0.890 | 0.920 | $16.99 | +$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.06at 0.395Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
- +$17.67at 0.754Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
- +$12.07at 0.532Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$2.08at 0.852Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
- +$0.96at 0.824Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 11:09 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.8942777526 | $101.27 |
| 08-17 11:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $9.70 |
| 08-04 10:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.3299999978 | $80.00 |
| 08-03 09:25 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.8899999995 | $16.44 |
| 08-03 09:24 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $50.62 |
| 08-03 09:22 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.4193965328 | $67.83 |
| 08-02 10:46 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.959017292 | $123.91 |
| 08-02 08:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.989 | $75.88 |
| 08-01 17:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.75 | $57.54 |
| 08-01 11:23 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.3228773168 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 11:20 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $143.29 |
| 07-28 11:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 07-18 15:44 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999546 | $15.53 |
| 07-18 15:36 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.5199999958 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 15:23 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5064688661 | $100.00 |