igormig
0x34bfeb23a9daf9bf86a87e87357db8c55ecccf0b
- Realised P&L
- $149.66
- Volume
- $22.9k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $385.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.900 | $179.99 | +$54.00 |
| Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.623 | 0.380 | $112.06 | −$71.76 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.715 | $71.50 | +$42.50 |
| Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.220 | $21.90 | −$22.89 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$210.00at 0.650Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$47.96at 0.410Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-31?
- +$28.74at 0.584Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?
- +$17.46at 0.967Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
- +$9.40at 0.530Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-05 12:45 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.66 | $132.00 |
| 04-05 12:45 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.66 | $132.00 |
| 03-31 20:24 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-31? | SELL | 0.889649965 | $88.96 |
| 03-31 19:15 | Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31? | BUY | 0.65 | $31.82 |
| 03-31 19:06 | Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.39 | $36.17 |
| 03-31 19:04 | Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.11 |
| 03-31 18:58 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.63 | $126.00 |
| 03-15 19:17 | Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.45 | $13.09 |
| 03-15 19:17 | Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.74 | $116.21 |
| 02-22 16:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on February 24? | BUY | 0.997 | $94.72 |
| 02-22 16:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on February 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $149.70 |
| 02-22 16:46 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on February 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 02-22 16:43 | Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 02-22 16:42 | Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 02-22 16:42 | Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.55 | $110.00 |