PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ermanaric

0x34bcf9fc3d277064cbd68613440d342d5b2f5c44

Realised P&L
$27.94
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$460.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? · No0.9870.977$54.68−$0.59
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9740.975$53.34+$0.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9840.984$51.71+$0.00
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9640.953$50.41−$0.61
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat? · Yes0.9840.984$50.09−$0.03
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9790.960$48.93−$0.99
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9470.870$46.08−$4.11
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · No0.9840.884$45.08−$5.10
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9450.847$44.89−$5.19
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · No0.9400.940$15.08+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-07 08:33Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.98$21.63