Eddan
0x34ba861db24cf196c01b3c07a28902ec9fbf5d1e
- Realised P&L
- $786.75
- Volume
- $35.6k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $19.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.043Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$69.16at 0.310US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
- +$13.34at 0.060Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$4.61at 0.040Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
- +$2.00at 0.030Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 10:53 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.054 | $27.00 |
| 06-08 19:17 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.49 |
| 06-08 11:41 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | BUY | 0.31 | $12.07 |
| 06-08 11:37 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | BUY | 0.21 | $105.00 |
| 06-08 06:39 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | BUY | 0.0569 | $28.45 |
| 05-14 15:22 | Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 03-11 14:12 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16? | BUY | 0.1942917096 | $50.00 |
| 03-11 13:38 | Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? | SELL | 0.1003945632 | $7.61 |
| 03-11 07:25 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 03-11 07:16 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13? | BUY | 0.12 | $120.00 |
| 03-11 06:08 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13? | BUY | 0.1149312448 | $120.00 |
| 03-10 20:28 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13? | BUY | 0.1099999977 | $40.00 |
| 03-10 20:17 | Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? | BUY | 0.0391649983 | $1.00 |
| 03-10 20:17 | Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? | BUY | 0.039800995 | $2.00 |
| 03-10 19:39 | Will Khamenei tweet again on March 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |