PolyBot

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Traders

Eddan

0x34ba861db24cf196c01b3c07a28902ec9fbf5d1e

Realised P&L
$786.75
Volume
$35.6k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$19.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration95.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0180.004$10.38$30.61
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0240.004$4.29$24.96
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0300.008$2.64$7.36
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0270.001$1.49$79.50
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0280.003$0.63$6.37
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$3.00
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$10.00
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.0500.000$0.00$150.00
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16? · Yes0.1940.000$0.00$50.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$105.00
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 10, 2026? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00$45.00
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yes0.1210.000$0.00$12.00
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 10, 2026? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? · No0.0390.000$0.00$20.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$27.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-24 10:53Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.054$27.00
06-08 19:17US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?SELL0.04$2.49
06-08 11:41US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?BUY0.31$12.07
06-08 11:37US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?BUY0.21$105.00
06-08 06:39US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?BUY0.0569$28.45
05-14 15:22Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.003$3.00
03-11 14:12Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?BUY0.1942917096$50.00
03-11 13:38Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?SELL0.1003945632$7.61
03-11 07:25Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?BUY0.12$12.00
03-11 07:16Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?BUY0.12$120.00
03-11 06:08Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?BUY0.1149312448$120.00
03-10 20:28Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?BUY0.1099999977$40.00
03-10 20:17Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?BUY0.0391649983$1.00
03-10 20:17Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?BUY0.039800995$2.00
03-10 19:39Will Khamenei tweet again on March 10, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00