0x348fcc4cc3b4d7a7029bba695babb12e977f94b1
0x348fcc4cc3b4d7a7029bba695babb12e977f94b1
- Realised P&L
- $-114.77
- Volume
- $884.42
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $53.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.490 | $31.96 | +$31.96 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.745 | $12.21 | +$2.21 |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.115 | $8.85 | +$8.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.81at 0.334Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-29?
- +$4.06at 0.961LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage
- +$2.95at 0.262Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$-0.27at 0.046Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5
- +$-2.09at 0.313Will Manchester City win on 2026-07-31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 13:16 | Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 12:00 | Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 11:19 | Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 11:17 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4599999939 | $30.00 |
| 08-04 14:31 | Dota 2: RE.Arise vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B | BUY | 0.6299999915 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 16:05 | Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 12:10 | Will Manchester City win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 13:34 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 06:43 | LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage | BUY | 0.9495167923 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 11:19 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4074999929 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 11:18 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 11:16 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 11:13 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5 | SELL | 0.043 | $1.95 |
| 07-19 08:23 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2674999907 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 06:13 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.0439999794 | $2.00 |