pilorget
0x347fbc3142a8a5ba5baa737dcee36f2ea542da56
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $184.2k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.51at 0.976Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$65.22at 0.979Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
- +$64.84at 0.970Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?
- +$51.84at 0.988Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
- +$47.33at 0.989Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 09:20 | Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.9923849938 | $32.27 |
| 11-02 09:19 | Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.989190175 | $322.18 |
| 11-02 09:18 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.992 | $148.80 |
| 11-02 09:18 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat? | BUY | 0.991 | $32.70 |
| 11-02 09:17 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.995 | $24.88 |
| 11-02 09:15 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat? | BUY | 0.987 | $19.74 |
| 11-02 09:14 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-24 House seat? | BUY | 0.9934049703 | $148.70 |
| 11-02 09:12 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.9935 | $31.79 |
| 11-02 09:11 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.993 | $142.00 |
| 11-02 09:11 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.994 | $13.92 |
| 11-02 09:11 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.993 | $19.86 |
| 11-02 09:10 | Will the Democratic Party win the IL-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.996 | $128.48 |
| 11-02 09:09 | Will the Democratic Party win the IL-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.99 | $92.76 |
| 11-02 09:07 | Will the Democratic Party win the AR-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.996 | $19.92 |
| 11-02 09:07 | Will the Democratic Party win the AR-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.90 |