0x347214D9B17Ea322A570F846346c6Fae8A21bC66-1775264802020
0x347214d9b17ea322a570f846346c6fae8a21bc66
- Realised P&L
- $864.12
- Volume
- $50.4k
- Markets traded
- 428
- Open portfolio
- $249.37
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded428
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$470.40at 0.014US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$190.80at 0.223Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$87.47at 0.121US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$81.24at 0.217Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$77.19at 0.323Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 20:47 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 20:46 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0839999993 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 20:45 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1724825512 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 17:30 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 17:30 | Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.0459999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 17:29 | Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 17:28 | Saudi troops enter Sanaa by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999998 | $3.00 |
| 10-17 17:28 | Saudi troops enter Sanaa by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0359999997 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 17:27 | Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 17:27 | Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3699999935 | $4.00 |
| 10-17 17:26 | Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 17:26 | Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 17:26 | Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 17:25 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 17:24 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.9659999845 | $1.00 |