0x347214D9B17Ea322A570F846346c6Fae8A21bC66-1775264802020
0x347214d9b17ea322a570f846346c6fae8a21bc66
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $48.8k
- Markets traded
- 411
- Open portfolio
- $289.01
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded411
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$470.40at 0.014US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$190.80at 0.223Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$87.47at 0.121US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$85.50at 0.334Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$81.24at 0.217Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 13:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 13:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 13:13 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0899999969 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 19:05 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:04 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.013 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 19:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 13:33 | Will Al-Shamal vs. Al-Ittihad Club end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:33 | Will Al-Ittihad Club win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.5599999851 | $6.00 |
| 09-13 22:35 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 22:31 | Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |