0x33e5799ac5a5f478d495af165f4fed1963bdef49
- Realised P&L
- $-7.86
- Volume
- $730.00
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $54.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.09at 0.836Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
- +$0.31at 0.424Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$0.19at 0.080Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$0.07at 0.970Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
- +$0.07at 0.268Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 07:35 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.28 |
| 07-16 21:22 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.40 |
| 07-09 00:47 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $11.18 |
| 07-08 00:26 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 07-01 16:18 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.71 |
| 07-01 12:01 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.52 |
| 06-24 20:11 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.09 |
| 06-19 23:22 | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.40 |
| 06-13 16:37 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.19 |
| 06-13 16:12 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $3.18 |
| 06-13 16:06 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 06-13 14:31 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.093 | $1.12 |
| 06-13 13:35 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.068 | $1.97 |
| 06-13 13:20 | Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 06-13 12:21 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.888 | $5.33 |