PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x33e5799ac5a5f478d495af165f4fed1963bdef49

Realised P&L
$-7.86
Volume
$730.00
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$54.11

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)31.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.1940.795$10.34+$7.81
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · No0.5000.945$9.45+$4.45
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8140.920$7.36+$0.85
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.9460.998$5.99+$0.31
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.975$4.87+$0.32
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.3100.165$4.62$4.06
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · No0.9490.920$4.60$0.14
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1380.105$3.25$1.03
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · Yes0.6500.261$1.30$1.95
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0930.056$0.67$0.45
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · Yes0.4300.115$0.57$1.57
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4200.064$0.51$2.85
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.2230.097$0.48$0.63
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2000.009$0.09$1.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 07:35China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$7.28
07-16 21:22Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.1$1.40
07-09 00:47Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.86$11.18
07-08 00:26Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$4.55
07-01 16:18Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.09$1.71
07-01 12:01Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.08$1.52
06-24 20:11Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.19$2.09
06-19 23:22U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.9$5.40
06-13 16:37Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.17$1.19
06-13 16:12Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.53$3.18
06-13 16:06Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.17$1.70
06-13 14:31Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.093$1.12
06-13 13:35Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.068$1.97
06-13 13:20Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?BUY0.97$4.85
06-13 12:21Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.888$5.33